Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.675759 0.861900 1.070914 1.320375 1.607385 1.924748 2.299662
2025-09-28 0.401067 0.626730 0.913492 1.292541 1.768453 2.334887 3.048436
2025-10-05 0.252671 0.488314 0.826398 1.315868 1.976285 2.808312 3.906935
2025-10-12 0.156144 0.381355 0.747390 1.324528 2.153867 3.249209 4.750749
2025-10-19 0.087324 0.283770 0.651124 1.283220 2.248124 3.578774 5.464294
2025-10-26 0.047067 0.213711 0.575360 1.252305 2.343791 3.906473 6.183301
2025-11-02 0.026109 0.170404 0.532197 1.261749 2.493118 4.310122 7.016045
2025-11-09 0.011439 0.125673 0.468469 1.220436 2.553408 4.582836 7.672779
2025-11-16 0.006170 0.108028 0.458462 1.273694 2.766714 5.086246 8.667846
2025-11-23 0.002355 0.085481 0.426339 1.276584 2.892675 5.460509 9.486969
2025-11-30 0.001162 0.078095 0.433212 1.358872 3.158538 6.056659 10.642337
2025-12-07 0.000382 0.067715 0.426428 1.409896 3.370767 6.575280 11.695848
2025-12-14 0.000043 0.055230 0.407482 1.433149 3.538459 7.036785 12.688690
2025-12-21 NaN 0.040546 0.370596 1.408103 3.614723 7.355181 13.477325
2025-12-28 NaN 0.032807 0.356553 1.435110 3.789296 7.837189 14.523666
2026-01-04 NaN 0.025396 0.337521 1.445453 3.930889 8.268160 15.500586
2026-01-11 NaN 0.016819 0.301234 1.402127 3.962093 8.515213 16.199165
2026-01-18 NaN 0.010959 0.271536 1.369533 4.010301 8.789878 16.944180
2026-01-25 NaN 0.007915 0.257579 1.379721 4.146056 9.216218 17.933519
2026-02-01 NaN 0.004459 0.228474 1.335832 4.163235 9.436976 18.601766
2026-02-08 NaN 0.003690 0.230264 1.392536 4.399790 10.045747 19.896219
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002334 0.217033 1.395629 4.518420 10.449477 20.869541
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002210 0.227373 1.483108 4.828453 11.198924 22.408594